Causal Impact &Marketing EffectAnalysis

Metrics moved after your change but was it really you?

Move beyond simple before/after numbers. Prove exact causality behind budget shifts, seasonality, or campaign updates with statistical rigor.

Google Ads
High Impact

High-potential placements to invest

3 placements convert 2.3x above account average but are capped by budget.

Projected +18% ROAS

Stop Confusing Correlation with Causation

Traditional dashboards show you that sales went up, but not why. Standard attribution models fail to answer the most critical question: What would have happened if you did nothing?

True Impact Analysis

Understand whether changes to your campaigns, adsets, or adgroups actually drove the performance you’re seeing or whether it would have happened anyway. Orphex isolates external noise (seasonality, baseline trends) to find the absolute truth.

Concrete Absolute Numbers

No more mental math translating percentages. Get clear, absolute numbers directly: "This change added 1,466 extra conversions over 7 days." Make data-driven decisions with flat metrics, not ambiguous percentages.

Baseline Counterfactual Modeling

Orphex automatically constructs a statistically sound counterfactual baseline. It predicts how your campaigns would perform without the modification, allowing you to measure the exact incremental lift.

How It Works

01 Smart Baseline Control

Historical Isolation

Orphex automatically filters out weekends, holidays, and natural organic traffic to find your true baseline before any ad modification.

02 Counterfactual Engine

"What If" Simulation

The moment a campaign shifts, our engine simulates the alternative reality: How would this ad group perform if you did nothing?

03 Pure Incremental Lift

True Attribution

By overlaying actual performance against the simulation, Orphex extracts the exact incremental revenue directly caused by your action.

Built for Real-World Marketing Decisions

Budget Scalability Testing

You doubled the budget on a top-performing Meta adset, but ROAS dropped. Did it drop due to creative fatigue, or did you just reach the saturation point? Causal Impact isolates the exact effect of your budget scale.

Campaign Structure & Creative Overhauls

When you launch a new Advantage+ campaign or change your bidding strategy, you need to know if the transition period actually delivered incremental value or just reallocated organic traffic.

Ready to automate your marketing?

See how you can save more time and optimize your budget.